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In less than two weeks, Scottish voters will head to the polls to decide whether to sever their 307-year relationship with the United Kingdom. The referendum is the culmination of decades of agitation by the Scottish National Party (SNP) and mirrors events taking place across the European continent by people who no longer associate with large, multicultural states. If Scotland decides to become independent on September 18 it could significantly weaken the defense posture of Great Britain, while simultaneously motivating other independence movements in continental Europe. An independent Scotland would face sizable economic problems, though, and concerns about those issues could help the “no” forces with the upcoming referendum.
This topic brief will examine the factors that created the Scottish independence referendum, the major arguments that are playing out concerning whether Scotland should become an independent nation, and then analyze the chances and consequences of Scotland choosing to become independent.
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