Tag: U.S. economy

AGD: In a Down Economy Shopping Becomes Entertainment

Photo Illustration/CNN

Photo Illustration/CNN

by Corey Alderdice

When Steve Jobs joined Disney’s board of directors with the Mouse-Ears Company’s acquisition of Pixar, the company hoped Jobs work a bit of that Apple magic for them as well.

With Jobs’ insight and blessing, Disney intends to borrow heavily from Apple’s playbook and their Apple Retail Stores in a forthcoming update to the Disney Store chain.

It’s not just about new shelves and a fresh coat of paint.  As many stores are just trying to get by amid slumping sales, Disney is rushing toward a major investment. The key is not so much a change in product, but the actual experience of shopping at a Disney store.  After all, the company that’s all about entertaining your family at the movies, on Broadway, and in theme parks worldwide might as well have your attention at the local mall.   The New York Times explains:

Disney Stores, which the media giant is considering rebranding Imagination Park, will become more akin to cozy entertainment hubs. The chain’s traditional approach of displaying row after row of toys and apparel geared to Disney franchises will be given a high-tech makeover and incorporated into a new array of recreational activities. The goal is to make children clamor to visit the stores and stay longer, perhaps bolstering sales as a result. Over the next five years, analysts estimate that Disney will spend about $1 million a store to redecorate, reorganize and install interactive technology.

“The world does not need another place to sell Disney merchandise — this only works if it’s an experience,” said Jim Fielding, president of Disney Stores Worldwide. The company plans to unveil the new look in May in Southern California, Long Island and Madrid, and is close to signing a lease for that Times Square flagship.

Where does this fit into your speech?   As the recession lingers, questions about the economic outlook will find themselves into each tournament.  Moreover, as we approach what is expected to be another glum holiday shopping season, questions will pop up about the retail outlook.  You might even work this into a speech about reinvention, the need to try something new, or other situations where change is happening in business or industry.

Topic Brief: Budget Deficit Politics

topicbriefBy Logan Scisco

During the “off season” after NFL Nationals, the issue of the budget deficit has come to be a major one in American politics.  It has the potential to shape the outcome of the midterm elections in 2010 and is playing a role in President Barack Obama’s declining popularity ratings.  As extempers get ready for the 2009-2010 season, which starts in less than six weeks with the Wake Forest National Early Bird, they will face questions about an array of economic issues such as unemployment, the effectiveness of the stimulus package, and the level of international trade as well as the controversial issue of healthcare reform.  All of these issues have something to do with the budget of the United States government and by proxy the deficit the U.S. government currently finds itself facing.

Americans in the late 1990s got used to seeing fiscal discipline on Capitol Hill between the executive and legislative branches.  President Bill Clinton worked with Republican leaders on Capitol Hill, a relationship that was often tense through impeachment proceedings and a government shutdown, to craft a budget that was balanced and that ran a surplus totaling $128 billion.  In fact, the major issue of the 2000 election between Vice-President Al Gore and then-Texas Governor George W. Bush was over what to do with this budget surplus, with Gore arguing that it needed to be used to shore up entitlement programs such as Social Security in a “lockbox” and Bush arguing that it needed to be given back to the American people in the form of a tax cut.  After the first presidential debate between the two men in the fall of 2000, Saturday Night Live had a hilarious mock debate over this issue.

After Bush won the election, he was able to get Congress to approve his tax cut package and celebrated the occasion as a victory for small government.  However, thanks to September 11th and a U.S. recession that began after Bush was elected, the federal government started to see deficits early in the Bush administration.  By the time Bush left office, he and Congress, which was controlled for six years of his administration by Republicans, left the country with nearly a $500 billion deficit.  To put this into perspective, that number represents nearly three percent of America’s gross domestic product (GDP), the total value of goods and services produced within the U.S. in a given year.

Therefore, this topic brief will describe the state of the budget deficit under the Obama administration, how Congress and the Obama administration are trying to cope with it, and the political fallout on the budget deficit issue.

Topic Brief: Budget Deficit Politics

During the “off season” after NFL Nationals, the issue of the budget deficit has come to be a major one in American politics.  It has the potential to shape the outcome of the midterm elections in 2010 and is playing a role in President Barack Obama’s declining popularity ratings.  As extempers get ready for the 2009-2010 season, which starts in less than six weeks with the Wake Forest National Early Bird, they will face questions about an array of economic issues such as unemployment, the effectiveness of the stimulus package, and the level of international trade as well as the controversial issue of healthcare reform.  All of these issues have something to do with the budget of the United States government and by proxy the deficit the U.S. government currently finds itself facing.

Americans in the late 1990s got used to seeing fiscal discipline on Capitol Hill between the executive and legislative branches.  President Bill Clinton worked with Republican leaders on Capitol Hill, a relationship that was often tense through impeachment proceedings and a government shutdown, to craft a budget that was balanced and that ran a surplus totaling $128 billion.  In fact, the major issue of the 2000 election between Vice-President Al Gore and then-Texas Governor George W. Bush was over what to do with this budget surplus, with Gore arguing that it needed to be used to shore up entitlement programs such as Social Security in a “lockbox” and Bush arguing that it needed to be given back to the American people in the form of a tax cut.  After the first presidential debate between the two men in the fall of 2000, Saturday Night Live had a hilarious mock debate over this issue.

Topic Brief: AIG Bonuses

Throughout much of the last week, the U.S. media has been obsessed with the bonuses that American International Group (AIG) was planning on paying its executives.  Corporate bonuses are regularly scrutinized by the media as a way of the richer getting richer, but these carry with them special weight due to the fact that AIG has received over $170 billion in government bailout funds due to the financial crisis that began last September.  With bonuses over $100 million set to be rewarded to executives who have been ridiculed for their incompetence during the crisis, the American people are outraged that some of their taxpayer dollars may go to filling the pockets of Wall Street executives as opposed to people who are without employment or who might lose their jobs in Detroit’s automotive plants.

The government response to the AIG debacle has been one of backtracking on initial promises and overreactions with hurried through Congressional legislation.  Chances are that when the dust settles and smoke clears, much of the bonuses will not be paid out.  Yet this incident has caused the American public to lose more trust in the ability of the federal government to resolve the financial crisis appropriately and has been a public embarrassment for the Obama administration.

Considering these ramifications, this brief will break down why AIG’s is in such bad financial shape, the response of Washington and the American people to the bonus payments, and what implications these bonuses will have for the American economic and political scene.

Topic Brief: President Obama’s Budget Plans

Shortly after getting Congress to pass his economic stimulus bill, worth $787 billion, Barack Obama has again presented Congress with his plan for the federal budget for next year.  Under our constitutional system, the President has the responsibility to make the budget, but Congress must debate its proposals, amend it if they choose, and then vote on the final package.  While the current version of Obama’s 2010 budget, worth $3.6 trillion, $1.2 trillion being borrowed, is not likely to stay in its current form, it nevertheless gives us insight into his presidential priorities and where he would like to take the country.

Not surprisingly, Obama’s budget, which combines new federal spending into education and healthcare programs along with tax increases on America’s wealthy and oil and gas industries, has provoked conservative opposition.  It is for this reason that this brief is being written as the controversy over this budget is bound to follow extempers throughout the coming month, a month when state tournaments are on the horizon.

This brief will break down what Obama’s budget contains, criticisms of the budget (along with some arguments about why these criticisms are wrong), and the impacts this budget could have for America.

Topic Brief: Obama’s Economic Stimulus Plan

SpeechGeek February Free for Allby Logan Scisco

Over the last week, the news concerning the state of the U.S. economy continues to be troubling.  Unemployment rates stand at the highest they have been in twenty-five years, banks continue to suffer problems despite the federal government’s willingness to give them aid, there is still doubt and uncertainty over the fate of America’s automakers, the federal deficit is expected to climb, and the gross domestic product (GDP) of the U.S. shrinking 3.8 percent in the fourth quarter, the biggest such contraction in GDP since 1982.

Faced with these massive economic problems, newly elected president Barack Obama has urged Congress to pass a new round of stimulus spending, over $800 billion worth, in attempt to get the economy growing again and avoid a second Great Depression in the United States.  This is no surprise considering that the economic meltdown helped to elect Obama as president and if he fails to fix the economy over the next four years his chances of re-election look grim.

For extempers, the ongoing battle over this stimulus package is of utmost importance in examining domestic topics over the next two months.  The success of the passage of this stimulus bill will demonstrate how well Obama can cross the aisle and win bipartisan support for his initiatives.  This battle is also the first major legislative test of Obama’s presidency and a failure could cost his administration valuable momentum in its first several months in office.

This brief will clarify the components of the recent economic stimulus bill that passed the House of Representatives last week, describe what modifications the U.S. Senate may make to the bill, and the political implications that arise from these decisions.

Topic Brief: The Obama Stimulus Plan

Over the last week, the news concerning the state of the U.S. economy continues to be troubling.  Unemployment rates stand at the highest they have been in twenty-five years, banks continue to suffer problems despite the federal government’s willingness to give them aid, there is still doubt and uncertainty over the fate of America’s automakers, the federal deficit is expected to climb, and the gross domestic product (GDP) of the U.S. shrinking 3.8 percent in the fourth quarter, the biggest such contraction in GDP since 1982.

Faced with these massive economic problems, newly elected president Barack Obama has urged Congress to pass a new round of stimulus spending, over $800 billion worth, in attempt to get the economy growing again and avoid a second Great Depression in the United States.  This is no surprise considering that the economic meltdown helped to elect Obama as president and if he fails to fix the economy over the next four years his chances of re-election look grim.

For extempers, the ongoing battle over this stimulus package is of utmost importance in examining domestic topics over the next two months.  The success of the passage of this stimulus bill will demonstrate how well Obama can cross the aisle and win bipartisan support for his initiatives.  This battle is also the first major legislative test of Obama’s presidency and a failure could cost his administration valuable momentum in its first several months in office.

This brief will clarify the components of the recent economic stimulus bill that passed the House of Representatives last week, describe what modifications the U.S. Senate may make to the bill, and the political implications that arise from these decisions.

Topic Brief: The U.S. Auto Industry

Extempers have been busy over the last several months trying to understand the different elements of the current financial crisis.  In the midst of understanding credit markets, bond markets, the $700 billion U.S. bailout package, and deteriorating housing market, it was easy to ignore the problems of one of the most crucial industries of the U.S. economy:  the auto market.  Within the last several weeks, the problems of the auto industry’s “Big Three”, General Motors (GM), Chrysler, and Ford have become dire, as the auto companies say they have spent most of the $15 billion they held in reserve during the third quarter.  Faced with slumping sales at home and in the midst of restructuring their operations, GM has warned that without government aid it will not be able to make it through the year and Ford has warned that it will not last long into 2009 without government aid.

Faced with this situation, and a lame duck session of Congress, as well as for President Bush, you have the recipe for a tense political battle that will have ramifications far into the future.  You also have the stage set for what will be the last major battle of the Bush presidency, and one that could make President Bush even more unpopular before he leaves office.

This brief will give a summary of the current woes facing the automakers, the different solutions proposed by each side, and ramifications for the eventual solutions that could be prescribed for the auto industry’s woes.

Topic Brief: The Great Bailout

Overview

Wall Street has been on a roller coaster ride over the last few weeks so wild that it would make any Six Flags amusement park jealous.  The salvaging of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac earlier this month was only the first in several steps enacted in hopes of stabilizing the U.S. economy in hopes of staving off a total collapse of the financial sector.  This week, Congress will debate a $700 billion dollar package meant to shore up the rest of the industry.  That sum is most certainly more than pocket money.  The cost of the war in Iraq to date.  12 Bill Gateses.  $2300 for every American citizen.  Any way you write the check, the additional sum would once again raise the national debt to staggering heights.  Thus, the great financial bailout of 2008 is certainly worthy of our analysis.

Topic Brief: Oil

Overview

So, with it being NFL time and all that, we here at Extemp HOTtopics decided to revisit the topic of oil.  Now I’m sure you are all saying: “We’ve already talked about OPEC and how monetary policy affects oil prices.”  While that is true, this briefing is going to be a little different.  Specifically, since it is so late in the season, this briefing is going to focus a little less on facts and a little more on strategy.  Thus, while we will cover some new issues regarding oil (mainly the windfall profits tax) this briefing is more about explaining how oil as an issue can be the save all “I need another point” saving grace of extempers.  Therefore, this brief will go over some basic oil things that everyone should know, then examine how you can use oil to add a new level of analysis to all your rounds (including domestic social), and finial pose some non oil questions and give you an idea of how oil can be used to make your analysis more slick… Get it? Get it?

Topic Brief: Columbian Free Trade Agreement

Overview

This week President Bush tried to fast track a free trade agreement (FTA) with Columbia through Congress.  However, the House has already undone the mechanism that would have forced them to vote on it today and has promised to stop the agreement from passing.  What is peculiar about this move is that the same Congress approved a nearly identical FTA with Peru last year.  Many analysts believe that the rejection of this current bill, as well as the promise to interfere with a similar South Korean FTA, has more to do with election season posturing then it does with genuine policy concerns.  Therefore, this brief will outline some of the details of the FTA and what the different sides are saying before assessing the political and economic ramifications of the little FTA that is causing a whole lot of ruckus.

Topic Brief: Bear Stearns

Overview  

So, Bear Stearns… There’s a lot of messy economics surrounding this one, but it’s all over the news.  This brief is going to break it down into what you need to know and how to explain it without a lot of economic jargon. Here is the back story:  Bear Stearns is one of the world’s largest securities and brokerage firms.  In June of 2007, the firm found itself in financial trouble when the hedge funds and securities it held in the subprime mortgage market had lost nearly all of their value.  Over the coming months the firm posted a 61% net loss and severely damaged its credit.  In March of this year, the bank was on the verge of being insolvent.  On March 14, 2008, JP Morgan Chase and the Federal Reserve Bank of New York provided a loan to prevent Bear Stearns from insolvency, fearing the impact such an announcement would have on broader markets.  Two days later, the Fed helped subsidize a JP Morgan merger with Bear Sterns, allowing the stock to be traded at two dollars a share.  In a bid to boost investor and market confidence and gain support for their acquisition of the company, JP upped the share price to ten dollars on March 25.  This rise, combined with Morgan’s assertion that they will buy newly released Stearns stock, means the company will end up purchasing 39.5% of the company at an average of $65 a share.  This percentage, plus the influence of the current board, should give JP Morgan the influence it needs to gain control of the failed firm.

Topic Brief: High Oil Prices

By Logan Scisco

Extempers receiving questions on the price of oil and its relationship to the United States economy just keep coming.  In fact, I can hardly remember a tournament that I attended in high school that didn’t have a single question on the price of oil, OPEC, and/or what the United States could do to reduce its dependency on foreign oil.  Why do extempers get asked these questions a lot?  The answer boils down to a combination of question writers needing to think of questions that most people can answer and most judges will have some knowledge about and also the fact that high oil prices (which lead to higher gas prices) affect the vast majority of Americans in some way, shape, or form.

High oil prices are one of those unique issues that tends not to divide along partisan lines.  Sure, the GOP accused the Clinton administration of never having a real energy policy for the country, but the same was said of George W. Bush’s administration until this year when an energy policy was finally crafted.  Americans may differ in their views about abortion, gun control, gay marriage, etc. but when more and more of their income is going to gasoline then they become quite angry.

However, in light of how high oil prices tend not to be a partisan issue they due spark controversy over energy policy.  Conflicts emerge between the poor, who are most affected by a price increase of gasoline, and the rich, who for the most part can still afford to drive their cars or fly their fancy jets although they may have to cut back on it.  Conflicts also emerge between environmentalists who want cleaner, renewable sources of energy that will benefit America in the future and businessmen who want more supplies of oil on the market that will benefit America in the present.

This brief is an attempt to briefly show why the price of oil has risen, the economic impact of high prices, what can be done to combat the influence of OPEC (a topic that never seems to want to go away), and a brief explanation of some types of renewable energy sources.

Topic Brief: United State’s Economic Credit Crunch

By Logan Scisco

In August the economic crisis fuelled by the growing worldwide credit bubble was finally set in motion.  Extempers have been focusing on this growing credit bubble for years and some of the readers of this brief might have already given a speech about credit conditions in the United States economy.  These speeches most likely focused on America’s housing market, which has boomed over the last several years.  However, this housing boom was built on a risky foundation of adjustable rate mortgages and subprime loans.  Public forum debaters who also do extemp may also be familiar with the credit conditions in the United States due to a March resolution concerning the limitation of credit last season.

The recent credit meltdown in the United States economy has been felt across the world.  It has been fuelled by a rise in home foreclosures and a hesitation by lenders to keep funneling money into economic institutions.  Tightened credit standards have started to restrict the flow of money into the economy and financial markets, which have been boosted for the last several years on the free flow of money for investment and business acquisitions, have been jolted.

The credit crisis that is unfolding is something that extempers should start reading about soon.  Understanding the complexity of hedge funds, pension funds, private equity firms, and the lending practices done by banks can be difficult, especially for beginning extempers.  However, the more reading extempers do on these topics the more familiar with them they will be.  Knowing about the workings of these different economic areas can help extempers feel confident about economic rounds and will also help them understand the current credit crunch.

Due to the fact that a presidential election is on the horizon, the U.S. economy is bound to play a role.  How big a role it will play, though, will depend on how the economy is performing as we near November 2008.  The economy under George W. Bush has grown at a continual rate of three percent but it has been criticized for leaving working class Americans behind.  Furthermore, the credit crunch at the moment is prompting calls for the federal government to intervene in the economy and help those homeowners who are facing foreclosure.  Therefore, knowing more about the current credit crunch can aid in your knowledge of how the 2008 presidential election will play out.

This credit crunch topic is also important for extempers because it is the first economic crisis that Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke has had to confront.  How he handles this first crisis will determine how markets will perceive his leadership and will also go a long way towards defining his legacy at the Federal Reserve.

Due to the reasons mentioned above I felt that it was important to dedicate one of the extemp briefs for September to this credit crisis.  Within this brief extempers will learn how the current crisis developed, Bernanke’s leadership of the crisis, and the economic fallout of the current crisis on the United States and the global economy.

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